'Intelligent discontent is the mainspring of civilization.' -- Eugene V. Debs

Monday, February 09, 2004

Imagine What It Would Look Like Without the Spikes...

Salon has an article up that argues in a clinical almost satirical style that given a few reasonable assumptions the only way Bush can win is with an October surpise. The argument is based on examining the above graph and noticing that Bush's approval number's natural tendency is to fall but in the event of war, terrorism, or capture of an official state enemy it temporarily goes up.

I think we should all work hard to spread the Osama-gets-killed-is-going-to-be-the-October-Surprise meme. If it doesn't happen, no harm done. If it does happen it will work out more poorly for Karl Rove if people are kind of expecting it. So, you know, tell your apolitical cousin and Republican brother-in-law what the October surprise is going to be.

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